chapter 5 hypothesis testing and chapter 6 bayesian statistics

hypothesis testing, negative, disproof, system, hypothesis, satisficing,  diagnosis, and proof
are technical term for me.

1 plan hypothesis by some proof and mental model

2 do hypothesis testing

3 do disproof not satisficing to hypothesis

4 prioritize left above-mentioned by small in number of disproof through diagnosis

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probability, bayes' theorem, base rate, false-positive, true-positive, false-negative, true-negative, conditional probability, accuracy analysis and prior probability are technical term for me.

1 do accuracy analysis

* accuracy analysis per one thing
* conditional probability is P (L | + ). P is probability, L is event, | is condition and + or - is result.

2 calculate base rate when bayes' theorem generate it

* available to use bayes' theorem many times